What Was Wrong WIth The Mortgage Business? Stuff Like This

Here is a story about an internal memo from a major bank that was leaked out to the public, and to the media. It was a primer on how to trick the internal underwriting software into liberally approving loans that may not pass muster with a human underwriter. Such programs will provide a fast track to closing that essentially bypasses the human “manual” underwriting effort. The secret? Inflate the applicant’s income to make it look so “over-qualified” that the underwriter doesn’t even ask to see proof of income.

I know, I know. Just read the article. This represents an investment appetite well out of touch with risk assessment, and is symptomatic of an exuberant market. I’m not a huge fan of the ‘media tint’, especially with their ability to adequately report on the credit crisis, and this is no exception. There are misrepresentations, and the media loves to portray the entire industry as deliberately trying to hurt consumers. Keep in mind, banks don’t benefit when they write loans that go into default. Even though they often transfer the liability through securitization into the secondary market, they still have rating agencies , shareholders, and reputations to answer to. Granted, there were flaws all up and down the system, but that’s my point. The banks were not looking to make stupid investments so they could deliberately cause people to buy – and then lose their homes. They got carried away much like the borrower who signed their name to the application with bogus data got carried away. All based on the expectation that the home would keep rising in value. Economics.

Social And Economic Problems With The US Housing Market; Would You Rent Your Home To Jose Canseco?


First things first. Jose Canseco, who I will always remember for bouncing a ball off his head and over the home run wall, and getting pulled over in my hometown a few times cruising in a convertible and a gun in his lap, is in foreclosure. Unless he owns another home to move into, he’s looking for a place to rent. Are you looking for a renter to that investment home you speculated on and can’t refinance because of the credit crisis?

A new report from the Center for Economic and Policy Research, and the National Low Income Housing Coalition presents some of the current trends in the relationship between home renting and ownership. They present a good outline of some of the challenges lawmakers are facing when trying to figure out how to regulate us out of the current mess we are in. Worth a read, at least of the executive summary. Definitely read it if you are thinking of renting your house to Jose Canseco.

Sign Your Mortgage Yearbook? No Thanks!


I got a solicitation email today inviting me to purchase the 2007 Mortgage Yearbook. Yes, its important to understand this market and what we have come through and what we have learned, but this is a year I’d rather forget. You can read about the offer here.

Actually, this is probably pretty valuable info to the Secondary Marketing and Pricing teams with various mortgage lenders, but I’m not paying ~$500 for it.

I just wanted to suggest the cover photo to commemorate the year.

A Great Place To Shop For Foreclosures

Its called Catanzaro Way in Antioch, California… take your pick…

There will undoubtedly be some money made by the bottom-feeders of the real estate market. And by bottom feeder, I mean opportunistic investors who use market conditions as a lever to snag inventory on the cheap. They feed off the market at its bottom. Because lets face it, what goes up must come down, but when it comes to housing, or just about any other investment, what comes down goes back up … eventually.

We’ll see a deluge of infomercials hosted by “real estate gurus”, featuring average looking folks sitting poolside in a Hawaiian shirt at some resort in Orlando, and talking about their bounties in terms of monthly incomes. For $99 or $599 or 3 easy installments of $129, you can buy the books and tapes that unleash the secrets of how to get your own Aloha shirt and two tickets to the Radisson Disneyworld. We’ve seen it all before… These guys who make a living selling the recipe instead of baking the cake are arguably the real bottom feeders, but I can’t tell you who is/isn’t legitimate in that world…

But timing the markets is the challenge. Once you hear its time to get back in, it might be too late. So understanding how to find a good home, a good investment deal, and manage it safely without exposure to excessive risk will be the key until the market booms again. We’ll definitely be keeping an eye on this…